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End-to-end ML pipeline for flood damage prediction using 30-day antecedent rainfall and catchment features. Benchmarks Linear Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost, SVR, and a Keras DNN with time-series-aware cross-validation and automated feature selection.
Can an ML model beat bookmaker odds? A rigorously validated 'no' — 65,900 ATP matches, XGBoost, chronological validation, 4 independent statistical tests.