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Junaid-Ahmed-Rupok / DemocracyGuard

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An honest empirical test of subjective/objective reconciliation for forecasting democratic backsliding using ensemble learning.

machine-learning random-forest democracy dpi political-science forecasting ensemble-learning reproducibility social-sciences elastic-net gradient-boosting regime-change time-series-forecasting v-dem democratic-backsliding null-results nelda adverse-regime-transitions
  • Updated Jul 19, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

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