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climate_index_forecast

This Julia package provides tools to train Echo State Networks (ESNs) to predict climate indices. It implements two different methods for TIme-Delay Embeddings (TDEs). We compare the prediction performance of ESNs trained with and without those TDEs on the El Niño - Southern Oscillation and the Madden - Julian Oscillation. Therefore, we measure the prediction accuracy of ESNs across lead-times, employing metrics like the Root-Mean-Square-Error (RMSE), Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC), or the Heidke-Skill-Score (HSS).

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Comparison of ESNs trained with and without TDEs to forecast ENSO and MJO

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